Chocolate lovers yog nyob rau hauv cov tshuaj iab rau nqos - cov nqi ntawm lawv cov zaub mov nyiam yog teem kom nce ntxiv nyob rau sab nraum qab ntawm cov nqi cocoa siab.
Chocolate cov nqi tau nce 14% xyoo dhau los, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom txawj ntse database NielsenIQ qhia.Thiab raws li qee tus neeg saib xyuas kev ua lag luam, lawv tab tom yuav nce ntxiv vim cov khoom siv strained ntawm cocoa, uas yog ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm cov khoom noj uas nyiam heev.
"Lub khw cocoa tau dhau los ua qhov zoo tshaj plaws ntawm cov nqi ... Lub caij no yog qhov kev poob qis thib ob, nrog cov cocoa xaus cov khoom lag luam xav tias yuav poob qis mus rau theem qis," S&P Global Commodity Insights 'Principal Research Analyst Sergey Chetvertakov hais rau CNBC hauv email.
Tus nqi ntawm cocoa rau hnub Friday tau nce mus rau $ 3,160 ib metric ton - qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li lub Tsib Hlis 5, 2016. Cov khoom muag tau ua lag luam kawg ntawm $ 3,171 ib metric ton.
Cocoa nqi nce mus rau 7-xyoo siab
Chetvertakov tau hais ntxiv tias qhov tuaj txog ntawm qhov tshwm sim huab cua El Nino yog kwv yees ua rau qis dua qhov nruab nrab los nag thiab muaj zog Harmattan cua rau West Africa qhov twg cocoa loj hlob tuaj.Côte d'Ivoire thiab Ghana suav txog ntau dua 60% ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov khoom lag luam cocoa.
El Nino yog huab cua tshwm sim uas feem ntau ua rau kub thiab qhuav dua li cov xwm txheej niaj hnub mus rau nruab nrab thiab sab hnub tuaj Pacific Dej hiav txwv.
Chetvertakov pom zoo tias kev ua lag luam cocoa tuaj yeem raug cuam tshuam los ntawm lwm qhov tsis txaus nyob rau lub caij tom ntej, uas pib txij lub Kaum Hli mus txog rau lub Cuaj Hli xyoo tom ntej.Thiab qhov ntawd txhais tau tias cocoa yav tom ntej tuaj yeem nce ntxiv mus rau siab txog $ 3,600 ib metric ton, raws li nws kwv yees.
Nws tau hais tias "Kuv ntseeg tias cov neeg siv khoom yuav tsum tuav lawv tus kheej rau qhov yuav muaj tus nqi chocolate ntau dua," nws haiscov neeg tsim khoom chocolateraug yuam kom dhau cov nqi tsim khoom ntau dua rau cov neeg siv khoom raws li lawv txuas ntxiv raug nyem los ntawm kev nce nqi raw khoom, nce nqi zog thiab nce cov paj laum.
Ib feem loj ntawm dab tsi nkag mus rau hauv kev ua cov qhob noom xim kasfes yog cocoa butter, uas kuj tau pom 20.5% nce ntawm cov nqi xyoo-rau-hnub, raws li cov khoom noj khoom noj nqi database Mintec.
Spike hauv qab zib thiab cocoa butter tus nqi
"Raws li cov qhob noom xim kasfes yog tsim los ntawm cocoa butter feem ntau, nrog qee cov cawv cocoa suav nrog hauv qhov tsaus ntuj lossis mis nyuj, tus nqi ntawm butter yog qhov cuam tshuam ncaj qha ntawm cov nqi chocolate yuav txav mus li cas," Mintec Tus Thawj Coj Saib Xyuas Khoom Muag Andrew Moriarty hais.
Nws hais ntxiv tias kev siv cocoa yog "ze cov ntaub ntawv siab hauv Tebchaws Europe."Lub cheeb tsam yog lub ntiaj teb loj tshaj plaws importer ntawm cov khoom.
Qab Zib, lwm cov khoom tseem ceeb ntawm cov qhob noom xim kasfes, tseem pom tus nqi nce siab - ua txhaum 11-xyoo siab nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis.
"Cov qab zib yav tom ntej tseem nrhiav kev txhawb nqa los ntawm kev txhawj xeeb tsis tu ncua hauv Is Nrias teb, Thaib teb, Tuam Tshoj Mainland thiab European Union, qhov chaw muaj kev kub ntxhov tau cuam tshuam cov qoob loo," ib daim ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm Fitch Solutions 'cov chaw tshawb fawb, BMI, hnub tim 18 lub Tsib Hlis tau hais.
Thiab yog li ntawd, tus nqi siab chocolate tsis xav tias yuav txo qis txhua lub sijhawm sai sai.
"Txoj kev xav tau muaj zog txuas mus rau txhua qhov kev ntsuas kev lag luam uas ib tus neeg xaiv los saib tuaj yeem ua rau tus nqi siab rau lub neej yav tom ntej," Barchart tus kws tshaj lij Kev Lag Luam Loj Darin Newsom tau hais.
"Tsuas yog tias qhov kev thov pib thim rov qab, qee yam kuv tsis xav tias tau tshwm sim tsis tau, cov nqi ntawm chocolate yuav pib thim rov qab," nws hais.
Ntawm ntau hom chocolate, tus nqi ntawm qhov tsaus ntuj yuav tshaj tawm tias yog qhov nyuaj tshaj plaws.Cov qhob noom xim kasfes tsaus muaj ntau cov cocoa solids piv rau nws cov dawb thiab mis nyuj chocolate counterparts, muaj li ntawm 50% mus rau 90% cocoa solids, cocoa butter, thiab qab zib.
"Yog li ntawd, qhov cuam tshuam loj tshaj plaws ntawm cov khoom qab zib yuav tsaus ntuj, uas tau tsav ze li ntawm cov khoom xyaw cocoa," said Mintec's Moriarty.
Post lub sij hawm: Jun-15-2023
